mellowtigger | thoughts on USA civil war (Reply)

Please go read this post about the USA civil war (past and potential future) by

siderea. I'll attempt to summarize the sections.

States acting against other states (they did in the past, and they are now)
"...states inevitably resist the inevitable attempts of oppressor states to dominate the free states. But I'm saying we know where this goes. This ends in bullets."
minority control over Congress (House in the past, Senate now (okay, and the House))
"And the problem is that if a slave counts for three-fifths a person for purposes of getting allocated members in the House of Representatives, then a state could buy Representatives in Congress by buying slaves."
non-negotiable ethical conflict (slavery in the past, abortion and LGBT issues now)
"This will end in bullets because this is not a conflict of equally plausible moral positions, but a conflict between a polity organized around the legitimacy of subjugating others and peoples who do not care to be subjugated and will not go quietly."
conflict possible with either thwarted aims (in the past) or successful takeover (still undecided now)
"The threat model is that a conquering-minded, anti-democractic movement will take over the federal government, and then as they subjugate the states that resist them, send in federal troops."

I find this pattern of history credible for predicting our near future.
Reminder 1: David Brin says that the U.S. civil war never ended, so it might be accurate to say that the long-standing cold war may soon turn hot.
Reminder 2: In this moment, we need an activist/populist/organizer president. #BernieWouldHaveWon but Biden convinced 2 of the leading candidates to withdraw from the race, so he as the 4th place candidate could take the Presidency. Now, Biden must immediately become Bernie Sanders or watch the USA lose political ground on his watch.

Edit 2022 July 03: A Rabbi is "looking into an anti-fascism training in Berlin for American activists." That's our current status.