mellowtigger: (Default)

This YouTube video reveals a very interesting discovery about our population living near the southeastern (and northeastern) coastlines of the USA. In maps of the USA, the southeastern states almost always feature heavily in the least-well-off areas of the nation. There were (and still are) good reasons to blame their socioeconomic policies for that big discrepancy. Researchers, however, have found a climate connection that was on nobody's radar as a possibility.

These researchers from University of California, Berkeley, tried for 5 years to find a flaw in their research, because the results were so surprising. After each and every hurricane that reaches these areas, there is a persisting health deficit that lingers in the area, even amongst people who were not born at the time of the hurricane. This deficit persists years afterward, peaking about 6 years (68.6 months) after the initial landfall event. It is cumulative with additional hurricanes that may arrive later, so more hurricanes means even more excess total deaths later. These less-visible indirect deaths eventually affect 300X more people than the direct deaths caused by the hurricane itself. The reasons for these excess deaths? State and local governments have reduced capacities after each storm, individuals have less spare money after repurchasing and rebuilding after each storm, and stress is always bad for health, regardless of circumstance.

It's a fascinating 14 minutes, if you can spare the time to watch the whole video. Here's the Nature article, if you prefer text and graphs.

so much drama

2025-Sep-15, Monday 04:24 pm
mellowtigger: (Daria)

There are far too many relevant topics for Moody Monday, and there is far too little time to actually delve into them.

Here's the abridged version of most of the important things in my brain during this past week.

Click here to read the 7 items...

  • Charlie Kirk's apparent political assassination:
    A whole lot of people are putting words into other people's mouths. Here are the things that Charlie Kirk said (free archive copy), that political leaders said, and that actual progressive commentators said. In that last video, skip to the 12-minute mark to hear what I hope is wise advice for how to responsibly prepare your mind to watch violent war footage, if you choose to do so. I haven't watched the snuff video. I have enough exposure to violence where I'm at, thanks.
  • The USA President's health and ego:
    So, Trump disappeared for a week, which is highly unusual, then returns with a droopy half-face (at least temporarily), looking exactly like he had some kind of stroke. Then during his speech against the "radical left", Trump publishes a video where his hands and fingers glitch visually. According to this review of it, that video was not AI generated, merely badly edited. Both the editing (at all) and the quality (poorly done) are bothersome concepts in this context. Separately, there's a detail that is nagging at my brain. According to this story, the accused killer was caught at 10pm Thursday night. But what was the very first mention to the public of this apprehension? I cannot find a solid answer. It seems (without solid proof) that news was deliberately withheld from the USA public until Trump could go on Fox News on Friday morning and claim he was told about it just "5 minutes before I walked in." Oh, pleasant coincidence? Only after his statement, from what I can find, did other press conferences happen that morning. I want to be wrong about this obscure detail of timing, because that level of national manipulation for Trump's personal benefit is just... unconscionable. Why was the USA kept ignorant overnight on what is obviously an issue of national importance... until Trump gets to play the role of important political strongman revealing such significant news in person to Fox & Friends? We got news about Luigi Mangione seemingly every hour for days. Please, prove me wrong on this issue.
  • The ongoing USA civil war:
    I've mentioned stochastic terrorism on this blog several times in recent years. I think we will not properly address violence in the USA until we get a national legal definition of stochastic terrorism, so it can be objectively identified and punished in court. It will need to clarify what is not protected by the 1st Amendment. Likewise, I've said before that we need clarified what is not protected by the 2nd Amendment. Towards a solution for that problem, I think more states need state defense forces which cannot be controlled by the federal government. (Florida also started one recently.) Why? I think that federal law should require that all citizens be active members of those state forces, or members of federal military units, before they're allowed military weapons. Not everyone (and literally their children too) should have them. Make actual military units (which any citizen can potentially join) responsible for the use of their weapons. I think that culpability would put a quick end to idiots taking weapons whenever they want and firing them whenever they want. Possession of any military weapon without a military unit's explicit orders would be a punishable offense. That still leaves handguns (and 3D-printed ones) out there for potential misuse, but we have to start somewhere. It will require new constitutional amendments to make those changes. We should've started that process after Columbine. Until adoption of these (and other) new amendments, so-called blue states could financially starve and delay fascist government by pursuing economic secession.
  • Ukraine:
    I agree with this vlogger who says that Russia is sending drones into NATO countries, not because Putin thinks NATO will react. Putin knows NATO will not react. Instead, Putin does it because triggering worries in those populations might convince them to hoard their defense supplies instead of sending them to Ukraine. That's actually a shrewd military plan. I hope the NATO countries don't succumb to it.
  • Climate change:
    We're supposed to be in the midst of a La Niña year, but temperatures didn't really cool off globally. In addition, we're learning that very unusual breaks are happening in air and water and species migration patterns. We've got 1 more year expected of this La Niña, then 2027 (or late 2026) should shift back to El Niño, when things start heating up again. The last El Niño set some bad global records, but we'll start next time from another high point.
  • Privacy:
    I've tried explaining before that the only privacy that matters is what happens inside your own brain. We keep getting better at decoding brainwaves. We need a guarantee of absolute, inviolable (under any imagined emergency circumstance) privacy within our own bodies, and it needs to be encoded directly into the national constitution as a new amendment. Urgently. I think maybe I'm prepared for technological telepathy, but I'm increasingly sure that the rest of humanity is not capable of resisting the allure of knowing what other people think... or enduring the consequence of actually knowing those thoughts.
  • UFOs:
    I still feel a bit of embarrassment (I think it is) at my mention of supposedly-trustworthy news 2 years ago about an archaeological find in Peru, which turned out to be false. So I've been more guarded than usual on any UFO news. There was new testimony at the U.S. Congress last week. Apparently-reputable people testified where there are very real legal consequences, so I'm trusting one particular story as accurate first-person information. Like this video (MSN.com) of an Air Force veteran describing what sounds very much like stealth technology. A practical invisibility screen that can be turned on and off at will, not just difficult-to-radar surfaces. There's a longer video here (YouTube) of the Congressional testimony with even more footage of another flying craft. That UFO takes a missile hit, survives, appears to start tumbling, yet it and shrapnel pieces near it keep flying on the same trajectory, not falling down at all. That is not aerodynamic propulsion. That is something new. Given how easily our tools (including AI tools) can generate false text, images, speech, and video, it's important to stay skeptical, especially if somebody's selling something. I don't know what's going on, but I'm certain that my government is lying to the public and to Congress, which is supposed to have regulatory oversight of the military forces of the USA.

Strange times. So much distracting drama.

mellowtigger: (lowered expectations)

I intended to write about Trump-related stuff today, but there's just too much news now. There's little point in continuing the laundry list. It has become quite clear that citizens in the USA live in different realities. Why argue facts with any group whose leader actually ends fact-finding projects, fires fact-finding people, deletes past factual data, and just rewrites information as whims demand?

So... I focus inward instead? I still see absurdities, but maybe I can do something about my own failings. I've come up with this list of what I find as my own current personal hypocrisies of behavior.

Click to read the 4 items...

  1. I make continuing efforts to reduce my daily household plastic exposure, then twice a day I spray nasal drugs from plastic bottles up into my nose within easy reach of my brain. Tired of plastic in the brain? Here's some more! Good luck, brain.

  2. I tout the joys of having a "wild" yard instead of grass, but I haven't been tending it properly. I may have done an even worse job of it this year than last year. I'm just so very tired all of the time since starting this current job 2 years ago. I don't want to set a bad example that convinces the city to stop supporting Lawns2Legumes efforts like my yard has been. I want to be proud of it, but it's just a mess right now. I'm not doing well at something that I like and encourage others to do.

  3. I encourage renewable energy use, and I even subscribed to wind-sourced energy from Xcel. Then I run the window a/c unit upstairs nearly constantly, and I set it lower than it normally would be to cool just a single bedroom, because I need that cold air to fall downstairs and cool the rest of the house like where I work every day too. It's just not ideal. I just subscribed to an AI service too, if only temporarily to test it out. I know full well that AI energy usage is driving very bad trends. MIT says that "AI alone could consume as much electricity annually as 22% of all US households."

  4. I keep writing here that I intend to write less of the gloom and more of the hopeful stuff and at least more of the science stuff like I used to do in the past. Do I ever get around to it? Do I? UGH!

It was clear at work today that the summer slowdown is over. The new semester starts soon. We've got about 1 more week until the blackout dates when managers do not approve any vacation time, because we need all hands on the proverbial deck. I soon will have even less energy for all the things that I ought to be doing in order to live up to my own expectations for myself.

But Trump... ugh.

mellowtigger: (time critical)

Climate change remains, as it was in 2019, my #1 topic of concern requiring immediate political action worldwide. I haven't really discussed climate news for... a long while. It's because what news I find is usually bad. Very bad.

I recently saw a chart that made a non-scientific forward-projection of data from a not-yet-peer-reviewed pre-print article. That's a lot of caveats, basically, for unvalidated ideas. It was an extremely depressing projection, though. It was a convincing "smoke 'em while you've got 'em" argument.

This page offers the pre-print, see the "Download PDF" button at the top right. The Reddit post I saw seemed to get its future projection from a source I tracked down to this Facebook image as the earliest source I could find. Here is a YouTube discussion of that chart too.

It's depressing stuff. I sympathize with David Suzuki on this one. I hope to snap out of it soon and post something positive about our collective future.

mellowtigger: (unicorns rainbows)

How about a palate cleanser from the day's big news? I've got 2 related items that are actually very good news, rather than just a little bit good.

  1. Fossil fuels dropped to only 49.2% of USA electricity production.
    Fossil fuels just hit a record low in the US electricity mix last month, while solar and wind soared to all-time highs, according to fresh data from global energy think tank Ember. In March 2025, fossil fuels accounted for less than 50% – 49.2% – of electricity generated for the first month on record. This beats the previous monthly record low of 51% set in April 2024.

    - https://electrek.co/2025/04/04/first-month-on-record-fossil-fuels-drop-below-50-of-us-power-mix/
  2. Fossil fuels dropped to only about 60% of electricity supplied worldwide.
    Renewables and nuclear provided 40.9% of the world’s power generation in 2024, passing the 40% mark for the first time since the 1940s, according to a new global energy think tank Ember report. Renewables added a record 858 TWh in 2024, 49% more than the previous high in 2022. Solar was the largest contributor for the third year running, adding 474 TWh to reach a share of 6.9%. Solar was the fastest-growing power source (+29%) for the 20th year in a row.

    - https://electrek.co/2025/04/07/world-surges-past-40-percent-clean-power-in-record-renewable-boom/

Sure, I quibble with the inclusion of nuclear fission in the non-fossil-fuel category. New fissile material will not be created by nature in any meaningful time frame, therefore it is another non-renewable resource of limited quantity on Earth.

Still, though, eliminating carbon output into the atmosphere remains my top political concern, so both of these items are truly great news.

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