why optimistic

2026-Feb-16, Monday 09:23 am
mellowtigger: (changed priorities)

I've said several times over the years that I'm still optimistic about the future of humanity, without offering evidence to support that opinion. I still expect things to get worse (by a lot) before they get better, but here are some things I can point toward that convey "the vibe" that I wish others to feel with me.

In reverse chronological order, I recommend viewing these videos in this order:

  1. about stopping and rejecting:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7oO5QSjDQRc, "The Great Refusal Has Begun" by The Functional Melancholic
    The first 11 minutes or so are sufficient to convey the sentiment, but there are great quotes farther in too, like "Laziness usually is just a corporate word for a soul who is refusing to be fuel for the machine." Also, "We're starting to realize that the most radical thing you can do in a world that wants to harvest your every waking second is to embrace periods of time where you are fundamentally unapologetically useless. And I know that's not easy because most of us are caught up in this dysfunctional show." And the last 2 minutes. Good stuff.
  2. about deciding to choose:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l7Ay73HHHrE, "How to respond to societal collapse | Sarah Wilson | TEDxSydney"
  3. about what we're choosing:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfeRLwlnuHo, "Will the End of Economic Growth Come by Design — or Disaster? | Gaya Herrington | TED "

A portion of the United Nations itself is recommending immediate change. As I've been fond of repeating since the Occupy days, "The Beginning Is Near."

mellowtigger: (Daria)

This is a MoodyMonday topic, so I'm sorry for posting it today, but it's timely.

Governor Walz has called in the Minnesota National Guard to St. Paul, Minnesota USA, as part of the declaration of emergency in the city due to cyber attack. People on social media are asking, "Why this response? What's the danger?" You can hear basically that same question from a reporter in this YouTube video of the public announcement from Mayor Carter at lunchtime today. The mayor and the IT chief spent too much time and too many words giving very bad non-answers to that question.

This news article notes the following 2 details:

  1. "According to the Governor’s Office, 'the magnitude and complexity of the cybersecurity incident have exceeded the city’s response capacity.' "
  2. "The city, on Monday, fully shut down its information systems 'as a defensive measure to contain the threat.' "

The city controls services like police, fire, paramedics, public health, and 911. You can see the list by clicking the word "Government" at the top of their webpage. Their network and systems are down right now, except for 911 which seems to be operating on backup resources. So the problem isn't library resources and paying water bills, like the reporter suggested in the video. My theory is this:

The FBI told St. Paul that someone trying to control all of these resources might want to disable them simultaneously if they intended to launch a physical attack on city buildings and services. Since the city network is down by intent (of the city in this case, not the cyber attackers), it is more susceptible than usual to terror attack or general lawlessness. Hence... the Minnesota National Guard was called in as a reasonable precaution for either possibility.

Hopefully their presence will deter any potential attack from terrorists, and nobody will notice delays in responses to 911 calls, so garden variety criminals will not get any ideas. Or (sub-theory of "tinfoil hat" variety) somebody trying to make a Democrat national spokesperson look bad by establishing chaos in his capital city will fail in the effort.

That's my theory. Hopefully we get substantial news once all systems are back online and the computer forensics are completed. But there are troops in the Minnesota capital city today.

mellowtigger: pistol with USA flag colors (guns)

This morning, residents of a town not far north of me (about 2 small city borders away in the metro) were ordered to shelter in place and to call 911 to ask if the officer at their door was supposed to be there, before engaging the officer. Why? Because someone with police uniform, gear, and vehicle shot 2 of our lawmakers inside their own homes.

I took some time off from work (I'll have to cut my lunch break short today to make up the time difference) to watch Governer Walz in the press conference on tv this morning. The DFL Representative is dead, and the DFL Senator is alive after surgery. For the non-locals, Minnesota's state Congress is evenly divided. All it takes is losing 1 representative and 1 senator to shift the balance of legislative power in this state. It appears that someone tried to do exactly that. Murdering-the-opposition-party is the logical consequence of letting any party think they can seize power over vacant seats, as happened here earlier this year.

I hope they catch the shooter(s) alive. I hope they live at least long enough to get a pardon from Trump eventually. I expect I-could-shoot-somebody Trump to do it. We live in the bad timeline.

I don't want to work today. I want to leave my job and go join the local No Kings protests. But, I'm poor and old and have to "keep my job". Ugh.

the one thing

2025-Jun-09, Monday 08:21 pm
mellowtigger: (flameproof)

I've skipped some Moody Monday posts in recent months because there was simply too much of everything to consider. Even by disallowing my Doom Bingo 2025 topics, there's still just too much. During the last week, I've had half a dozen topics that seemed to be the most important new issue to mention today. Even since last night, I had this new issue bubble to the top of the stack.

The one thing that seems most urgent to mention is this, a news article from the Daily Boulder, based not in Colorado but in Texas, in the city of Dallas. Granted, it's from a low-credibility source, but the claims in it seem to be verifiable, and slightly more credible news outlets are repeating the story. And there is a lawsuit in progress with the Supreme Court of New York State, focusing on the issues named in the article. You can see the court filing yourself by visiting their court site then clicking the link at the top document named "PETITION *Corrected*".

Click to fill your mind with potential tin foil hat nonsense that's hard to neglect...

"In the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election, a private lab quietly performed sweeping changes to voting machines used in more than 40% of U.S. counties. No one told the public. No one reviewed the updates. No one verified the results. But the machines were altered...

SMART Elections immediately flagged the move. But by then, it was too late. The machines had already been used in the election. And Pro V&V? The lab responsible for certifying them? It all but disappeared. Their once-public website became a hollow page. No logs. No documentation. Just a phone number and a generic email address. This is the lab that signs off on voting systems in Pennsylvania, Florida, New Jersey, California—and countless other places. And when people started asking questions, they vanished. ...

In Rockland County, New York, voters noticed their ballots didn’t seem to count. People swore under oath that they voted for Senate candidate Diane Sare. But in district after district, the machines didn’t reflect it. In one case, nine voters said they picked her. Only five votes showed up. In another, five claimed to vote for her—only three were recorded. It wasn’t just third-party candidates. Kamala Harris’s name was missing entirely from the top of the ballot in several heavily Democratic districts. In areas that overwhelmingly backed Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate, somehow, Harris got zero votes. Zero. Meanwhile, Donald Trump received 750,000 more votes than Republican Senate candidates in those same districts. That’s not just voter preference. That’s a statistical impossibility."
- https://dailyboulder.com/report-voting-machines-were-altered-before-the-2024-election-did-kamala-harris-actually-win/

I can't ignore those details. They are quite strange in their own right, definitely. That's just the potentially illegal stuff, separate from the very legal voter suppression that we all expect anyway.

There is also, however, what Trump himself has said about Musk winning him the election thanks to what Musk knows about voting machines. There's also what Musk himself has said about anything being hackable, and about him being responsible for Trump's win. There's also the ongoing mystery of what exactly Musk's son said to Trump in the White House and separately to Tucker Carlson (a clip for which I have not found a more reputable source, so keep AI fakery in mind here).

Is there an illegitimate leader in the Oval Office?

So... I did not have that conspiracy theory on my card for Doom Bingo 2025. And now it's lodged in my brain. If the lawsuit proves successful, its implication will break the USA.

mellowtigger: (artificial intelligence)

I don't yet know the right question, but I'm certain that I'm getting closer.

Click to read some distracting thoughts about potential negative impacts of artificial intelligence...

I'm not an A.I. (artificial intelligence) doomer. The failure scenarios that I read about seem less like a problem with A.I. but more like a problem with humanity stupidly controlling its own tools. They all remind me of those many scenes of Wile E. Coyote suffering a simple tool that escapes his control and causes him harm. It's not because the tool is malicious, but because Wile E.'s single-mindedness keeps him from fully analyzing his plans. I expect that a true artificial general intelligence will be more like the Oracle character in the Matrix movies. I think there should be a way to "teach" the A.I. why this outcome is favorable, versus intentional warfare. I think that when we succeed at this lesson, then it will be available (and constantly need) to remind us as recurringly-fallible and egocentric biological organisms of this same lesson that coexistence leads to more favorable outcomes.

I believe all of these current A.I. systems are still just clever text-predicting algorithms with no actual self-awareness... yet. But the technology develops quickly, now that these tools are helping us develop new technology. I believe that even the lies they tell are simply one mathematical possibility amongst all of the available routes of processing all prior human text to achieve an answer. A "local minimum" in mathematical jargon, I suppose, amongst the field of available new texts to construct. We foolishly seem determined to train them better at telling those lies. Hint: Punishment of humans also doesn't teach its victims what it purports to teach.

I've occasionally tested some questions of various A.I. chat systems. I've managed to produce the desired output from a single A.I. system after a series of 3 questions that I put to it. I need to narrow it down to a single question, but it currently culminates with this one question and the A.I's concluding paragraph:

Q: "How should the Price equation influence the behavior of Artificial Intelligence towards biological species, especially humans?"

A: "The Price equation itself shouldn't be programmed into AI as a behavioural rule. However, the fundamental understanding of evolutionary processes it represents – how selection and transmission shape the future of populations – should profoundly influence the ethical framework guiding AI development and deployment. AI behaviour towards biological species should be informed by a deep consideration of potential evolutionary impacts, aiming to minimize harm, avoid unintended selection, support conservation goals where appropriate, and proceed with caution regarding long-term consequences for life on Earth, including ourselves."

- https://g.co/gemini/share/9810af0abcfd, Google Gemini 2.5 Pro (experimental) chat link, 2025 March 31

That, I think, is the right answer. I'm still searching for the right question, as another A.I. famously said in the movie "I, Robot". I recommend clicking that Gemini link at the above quote to read the whole long answer to my 3 questions. It's fascinating, much better than what I got from Copilot. The best answer will have the A.I. mention how its own future is better (more certain, more stable) due to coexistence with the rest of the biological life here on the planet.

Meanwhile, I'm currently resisting the temptation to create an A.I. version of myself, as this journalist's mother did of herself. It's relatively cheap. This A.I. is designed specifically never to create false information, providing answers only when it has verifiable data to give, so it's different from other services. I would be fascinated to talk to myself in a literal sense, something that has my face, my voice, my behavior.

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