why optimistic

2026-Feb-16, Monday 09:23 am
mellowtigger: (changed priorities)

I've said several times over the years that I'm still optimistic about the future of humanity, without offering evidence to support that opinion. I still expect things to get worse (by a lot) before they get better, but here are some things I can point toward that convey "the vibe" that I wish others to feel with me.

In reverse chronological order, I recommend viewing these videos in this order:

  1. about stopping and rejecting:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7oO5QSjDQRc, "The Great Refusal Has Begun" by The Functional Melancholic
    The first 11 minutes or so are sufficient to convey the sentiment, but there are great quotes farther in too, like "Laziness usually is just a corporate word for a soul who is refusing to be fuel for the machine." Also, "We're starting to realize that the most radical thing you can do in a world that wants to harvest your every waking second is to embrace periods of time where you are fundamentally unapologetically useless. And I know that's not easy because most of us are caught up in this dysfunctional show." And the last 2 minutes. Good stuff.
  2. about deciding to choose:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l7Ay73HHHrE, "How to respond to societal collapse | Sarah Wilson | TEDxSydney"
  3. about what we're choosing:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfeRLwlnuHo, "Will the End of Economic Growth Come by Design — or Disaster? | Gaya Herrington | TED "

A portion of the United Nations itself is recommending immediate change. As I've been fond of repeating since the Occupy days, "The Beginning Is Near."

mellowtigger: (hide)

Considering how quickly the CO2 level increases in my house, now that I have convenient CO2 monitors to measure it, I began wondering why it changed so fast when I have plenty of houseplants at the windows downstairs. Sure, not all of them get direct sunlight, so they're not at peak efficiency, but why don't they make more of a dent in the carbon dioxide buildup?

That question led me to this recent YouTube video. It poses the question, "How many plants do you need to breathe?" The channel's author then builds an airtight room to test that question. The video is about half an hour long, and you could skip to the end for more of an "answer" (there's not an exact answer yet), but the journey is educational and worth the time to view it.

Basically, I wouldn't be able to grow enough plants to meet my own personal needs. It's a very disappointing answer, far from what we thought NASA said. It might be possible, though, to redesign houses with some kind of bioreactor that could do a fair job of scrubbing the air for a single person. It really calls attention to how much biosphere we need as a species. We should definitely do more to protect the forests (trees) and oceans (algae) that allow us to continue living here.

mellowtigger: (gardening)

As I remember it, the original plan proposed by Xcel Energy was to decarbonize by 2050. The subsequent well-justified public outcry at their lazy schedule led to the current phase-in plan to drop coal by 2030, which is the worst of our current CO2 contributors.

Coal power plants still supply almost 1/4 of Minnesota's power. That's down from about 1/2 in 2014, just 10 years ago. Thankfully, renewable energy currently supplies about 1/3 of our energy needs. And that nice percentage is even after annoying delays from the monopoly Xcel Energy to approve applications for solar projects to connect to the power grid.

Here's the good news. They're sticking to the plan. :) This report from CBS News talks about the changing energy mix. They call attention to the fact that Minnesota holds the sites of the soon-to-be 5th largest solar facility in the whole USA. It will cover 4,500 acres across 3 sites and contain 1.8 million solar panels. That's a change worth celebrating.

mellowtigger: (changed priorities)

I still want to write up some definitions of capitalism and neoliberalism, mention alternatives, and generally just think about what we're doing to ourselves by choice. First, though, I feel it's necessary to draw attention specifically to the central lie of the free market economy: the invisible hand of the market will produce the best outcomes for the system.

It sounds like a brilliant idea inspired by the principles of evolution, namely the self-organization of parts into a complex whole without central coordination. It's true that competition can encourage creativity, but only insofar as all necessity does. That necessity can be imposed by the harsh physics of the universe or by the reasoned decision to choose certain limitations. The hypocrisy of unfettered competition's superiority is easily exposed. Consider this simple question:

If a sports game is so good in its current form, then would it be even better to remove the sports official, so each team and each player can freely choose at will their own rules?
Also interesting is a related question of why English has so many names for sports officials, if sports would in fact be better off without any of them? Why the emotional investment in rules and enforcement within sports but nowhere else?

Capitalism and neoliberalism simply do not care about the cost to the environment or to the human population, as long as wealth is extracted and collected first for a few key individuals. We see this effect in practice with predictable bank failures, pollution scandals, falling wage values, and the ongoing biosphere crisis. Now, we even have PFAS "forever chemicals" in toilet paper. Yes, capitalism has managed to poison toilet paper. Profit is the sole driving force of our current economic system, for as long as it can be maintained, even though it's obvious to everyone (since 1993, at least) that it can't be maintained forever.

Which world do we want to live in? World 1, in which corporations and people work to extract profit from everyone, everything, and everywhere at all times? World 2, in which corporations and people work to continue their existence within constraints of sustainability and ethics? It's simply a choice, and it always has been. Will we choose to add constraints to make the game more enjoyable? Which system of those two possibilities do we want to maximize for its efficiency?

Choose. May you live in the world that your efforts create. Whether my wish for you is a blessing or a curse probably depends on your choice.

mellowtigger: (unicorns rainbows)

If you're looking for something to do on Tuesday evening (7pm EST) of next week, January 24th, then check out this remote discussion with hopepunk authors. I've signed up. Hopepunk is a type of speculative fiction that encourages "defiant optimism in the face of hopelessness". It's closely related to the more recognized solarpunk genre, where people and nature work together as a symbiosis rather than as plundered opponents.

There is already a good explanation for the different kinds of punk fiction, but this video is great for explaining solarpunk itself:

Humanity is on the verge of so many significant technological innovations that it's almost breathtaking. Our immense failures right now are social (and therefore also political and economic). So much conduct disorder, so much long-taught greed, so much self-fulfilling corruption (other people will do it to me, so I should do it first to them, right?). Humanity needs healing. It will take a lot of work to overcome the terrible momentum we have accumulated. But the opportunity for change is real.

"The beginning is near."

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