Moody Monday: the era of sudden death
2022-Oct-24, Monday 08:12 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
I think maybe we've entered the next phase of the pandemic. Reminder: Everything can be predicted from the 5 things to know about SARS-CoV-2.
I said 26 months ago that "Remember, with an R0 value of 2.5 and no precautions whatsoever, early projections estimated 2.2 million dead Americans." The official count is over 1 million dead, with 85% in the USA having contracted the virus (showing antibodies to nucleocapsid, and the same percentage holds for pediatric data). We have that number of corpses after vaccines and antivirals likely saved the other 1 million lives that would have been lost without scientific intervention. The projected ratio of immediate death from infection is still sound, but immediate death is not what worries me. The long term consequence of mass infection is what worries me, and that's also what motivates China to maintain its Zero Covid policy.
I said 27 months ago that "If so, it means that any other stress to the immune system could produce a sharp spike in blood clotting problems, leading to an increased risk of strokes and heart attacks for the rest of your life." This is what it means to be persistently infected with a blood-clotting virus.
We're already starting to see previously healthy young athletes dying "for unknown reasons", even as young as 12 years old. Some news writers are finally taking notice, here and there. That first article mentions one person who has tweeted collections of news articles about these unusual deaths, which seem to be happening frequently: thread #1 (Sep 06), 2 (Sep 08), 3 (Sep 10), 4 (Sep 13), 5 (Sep 17), 6 (Sep 26), 7 (Oct 04), 8 (Oct 13), 9 (Oct 19). But it's nothing new. We should have expected this outcome since 2020 April 25 (strokes) and 2020 June 29 (heart attacks).
What we will see during this era of sudden death:
I said 26 months ago that "Remember, with an R0 value of 2.5 and no precautions whatsoever, early projections estimated 2.2 million dead Americans." The official count is over 1 million dead, with 85% in the USA having contracted the virus (showing antibodies to nucleocapsid, and the same percentage holds for pediatric data). We have that number of corpses after vaccines and antivirals likely saved the other 1 million lives that would have been lost without scientific intervention. The projected ratio of immediate death from infection is still sound, but immediate death is not what worries me. The long term consequence of mass infection is what worries me, and that's also what motivates China to maintain its Zero Covid policy.
I said 27 months ago that "If so, it means that any other stress to the immune system could produce a sharp spike in blood clotting problems, leading to an increased risk of strokes and heart attacks for the rest of your life." This is what it means to be persistently infected with a blood-clotting virus.
We're already starting to see previously healthy young athletes dying "for unknown reasons", even as young as 12 years old. Some news writers are finally taking notice, here and there. That first article mentions one person who has tweeted collections of news articles about these unusual deaths, which seem to be happening frequently: thread #1 (Sep 06), 2 (Sep 08), 3 (Sep 10), 4 (Sep 13), 5 (Sep 17), 6 (Sep 26), 7 (Oct 04), 8 (Oct 13), 9 (Oct 19). But it's nothing new. We should have expected this outcome since 2020 April 25 (strokes) and 2020 June 29 (heart attacks).
What we will see during this era of sudden death:
- increased heart attacks and strokes
- increased unexplained deaths while asleep
- increased falls and car accidents, due to foggy mind, unstable muscle control, and poor risk assessment
- continued reductions in life expectancy, due to younger and younger people dying early
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Date: 2022-Oct-24, Monday 09:18 pm (UTC)P.P.S. I learned after I posted about this Twitter thread on clotting. Even more impressive, though, is this video of a journalist with Long Covid receiving blood treatment but having to work around the blood clot problem. She shows us one of the clots!
P.P.P.S. And how about this recent research article, with the abstract concluding, "The excess death, defined as the difference between the observed and the predicted mortality rates, was most pronounced for the youngest (25–44 years) aged decedents, ranging from 23% to 34% for the youngest compared to 13%–18% for the oldest age groups. The trend of mortality suggests that age and sex disparities have persisted even through the recent Omicron surge, with excess AMI-associated mortality being most pronounced in younger-aged adults."
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Date: 2022-Nov-02, Wednesday 03:33 pm (UTC)More specific to life here in Minneapolis, there's the NFL assistant coach and whoever this cyclist was. I never saw any news story about them.
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Date: 2023-Mar-15, Wednesday 02:42 pm (UTC)